Below is a clear, investor-safe ROI projection model for the Adopt-An-Agarwood Tree Program, structured in three scenarios (Conservative / Moderate / Premium).
This is not hype-based—it’s aligned with plantation realities, resin timelines, and ethical harvest constraints suitable for PAFC / CAPI / Oud Academia disclosures.
🌳 Agarwood Adopt-A-Tree
ROI Projections (Illustrative, Long-Term)
Assumptions (Base Model)
- Species: Aquilaria malaccensis
- Plantation-grown, DENR-registered
- Ethical inoculation at Year 4–6
- Harvest window: Year 8–12
- ROI may be taken as cash, product equivalent, or hybrid
🧮 Per-Tree Financial Assumptions
| Parameter | Conservative | Moderate | Premium |
|---|---|---|---|
| Resin Yield (g/tree) | 30–50 g | 80–120 g | 180–250 g |
| Resin Grade | Low–Mid | Mid–High | High / Craft / Distillation |
| Avg Market Value (USD/g) | $3–6 | $8–15 | $25–60 |
| Harvest Year | 10–12 | 9–11 | 8–10 |
💰 ROI Projection — Per Tree
🌱 Conservative Scenario
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Gross Resin Value | $120 – $300 |
| Program Cost (Seedling Guardian) | ~$80 |
| Net Value Range | $40 – $220 |
| ROI Multiple | 1.5× – 3.7× |
| Annualized IRR (est.) | 6–10% |
✔ Suitable for ESG adopters, memorial trees, carbon-first sponsors
🌿 Moderate Scenario
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Gross Resin Value | $700 – $1,800 |
| Program Cost (avg blended) | ~$75–85 |
| Net Value Range | $615 – $1,715 |
| ROI Multiple | 8× – 20× |
| Annualized IRR (est.) | 18–28% |
✔ Suitable for long-term value investors, family legacy adopters
🌳 Premium Scenario
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Gross Resin / Oil Value | $4,500 – $12,000+ |
| Program Cost (bulk) | ~$65–75 |
| Net Value Range | $4,400 – $11,900+ |
| ROI Multiple | 60× – 160× |
| Annualized IRR (est.) | 35–55% |
✔ Suitable for craft-grade oud, distillation partners, luxury perfumery
📦 ROI by Package Example
🌿 Legacy Grower (10 Trees)
| Scenario | Total Cost | Potential Value |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | ~$700 | $1,200 – $3,000 |
| Moderate | ~$700 | $7,000 – $18,000 |
| Premium | ~$700 | $45,000 – $120,000 |
🌳 Heritage Steward (50 Trees)
| Scenario | Total Cost | Potential Value |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | ~$3,035 | $6,000 – $15,000 |
| Moderate | ~$3,035 | $35,000 – $90,000 |
| Premium | ~$3,035 | $225,000 – $600,000+ |
🔄 ROI Distribution Options
Adopters may choose at maturity:
- Cash Settlement (after verified sale)
- Product Allocation (chips, oil, incense, beads)
- Hybrid (partial cash + products)
- Legacy Hold (tree retained, future harvest deferred)
⚠️ Responsible Disclosure (Recommended Footer)
Agarwood is a biological, long-cycle asset. Resin formation varies by tree, time, and care. Projections are illustrative, not guaranteed returns. Adoption prioritizes sustainability, compliance, and ecological integrity.
📈 Optional Enhancements (Investor Tier)
- Annual Resin Development Index (RDI)
- Chemistry-based grade forecasting
- Blockchain harvest traceability
- Independent third-party assay (HPLC/GC-MS)
- Integration into CESI extraction pipeline
Next, I can:
- Convert this into an Investor Appendix page
- Create a 1-slide ROI chart (visual)
- Add Middle East market pricing sensitivity
- Draft legal-safe ROI disclaimer language
- Bundle this into your Adopt-A-Tree Pitch Deck
Just say the word 🌿